22 Şubat 2011 Salı

Singularity

"Kurzweil likes to point out that your average cell phone is about a millionth the size of, a millionth the price of and a thousand times more powerful than the computer he had at MIT 40 years ago. Flip that forward 40 years and what does the world look like? If you really want to figure that out, you have to think very, very far outside the box. Or maybe you have to think further inside it than anyone ever has before."

Gönderen Metin zaman: 00:29
Etiketler:

3 yorum:

mahoglobin dedi ki...

Not so fast :)

Transistor size will not continue to shrink forever. It is about to hit the single atomic distance, and then it will stop there (~2020). A totally new process technology has to be invented. Something that does not depend on today's silicon based manufacturing process. Some sort of quantum computers.

The microprocessor design should also change. Today's Turing machine based processors cannot be as smart as humans, because they are designed as calculating machines. "Common sense" should be a part of the design.

Check this out:
http://www.amazon.com/Physics-Impossible-Scientific-Exploration-Teleportation/dp/0307278824/ref=ntt_at_ep_dpi_1

22 Şubat, 2011 06:51
Metin dedi ki...

Aslanim benim, sektorun kalbinden yorum geldi :) Hatirliyor musun hazirlikta benim sunumu? Sana kagit vermistim "bana bu sorulari sor" diye :D Bi de o kagidi benim verdigimi sinifa aciklamasaydin planim basariya ulasacakti :P

Neyse...

Makalenin bahsettigi ama benim alinti yaptigim paragrafta tam anlasilmayan sey "Moore's Law" degil. Eleman farkli bir yaklasimla gelmis:
"the change over time in the amount of computing power, measured in MIPS (millions of instructions per second), that you can buy for $1,000"
Bu degiskenleri goz onunde bulundurarak bir fonksiyon hazirlandiginda da cikan egri asagi yukari Moore gibi oluyor.
Oku makaleyi, eglenceli olmus. Bircok bakis acisindan vermis. Adami cok pis elestirdigi yerler de var.

22 Şubat, 2011 22:58
mahoglobin dedi ki...

Ben hazirlik sinifindaki hatiramizi unutmusum :)

23 Şubat, 2011 08:47

Yorum Gönder